It’s great to hypothesise wildly, isn’t it? I love it almost as much as I hate negative clichés. And – like I tell Mrs Wee Man when I return home with mischief on my mind and a gas bill in my pocket – I like to start with the fun and worrying about annoying things later.
So, let’s start this lecture with my hypothesis: Rangers enter liquidation and Celtic migrate, Dick Whittington-esque, to the bright lights of the English Premier League. Let’s not forget the bottom line: Premier League Chief Executive Richard Scudamore loves a global brand as much as Little Miss Wee Man loves a flying fox.
Which brings me to the negative cliché. If I hear one more person say that Scottish football without Celtic or Rangers will ‘sink to League of Ireland or Welsh Premier League levels’, I think I will tut, and shake my little plastic head in frustration.
Average attendance in the League of Ireland? Roughly 1600. Average attendance in the Welsh Premier League? 329. Attendance at Hearts’ last home league match? 13,176. Hibs? 9211. Hearts knocked some Hungarians out of Europe this season; Dundee United were unlucky to lose to Poles. So the far less devastating truth is that we might drift to Norwegian, Swedish, Danish or Polish levels. Is that really so bad? The ‘gang of ten’ don’t need Rangers any more than Malmö, FC Copenhagen, Rosenberg or WisÅ‚a Kraków need them (although Malmo may be sorry to see the back of them).
Combining Dunfermline’s recent money woes with a pocket calculator, it seems that each club would lose roughly £340,000 each season in away gate receipts without Celtic or Rangers, mitigated by the income they’d receive from whoever replaced them. The currently paltry TV income would be reduced too.
But surely attendances at Pittodrie, Tannadice, Fir Park, etc would rise in a league without Celtic and Rangers? As we’ve surely established by now, predictability is the enemy of excitement. Imagine this season without Rangers or Celtic: Hearts start as favourites, narrowly ahead of Dundee United, but Motherwell do brilliantly, with St Johnstone close behind, before a late charge from the Arabs cancels out their early season problems? I’d pay to watch that. So, if Rangers are liquidated, the ‘Gang of Ten’ can deal with them with the same impunity that the SFL dished out to Airdrie, judging them based on the event rather than on who they are. I don’t care what Chick Young or Neil Doncaster say.
Oh, and if Celtic stay in Scotland? I really hope they’ll agree to a significant redistribution of income, for the long-term good of every club in the country.